Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000103 0.000114 0.000126 0.000139 0.000154 0.000171
2026-01-25 0.000078 0.000091 0.000107 0.000125 0.000147 0.000172 0.000203
2026-02-01 0.000067 0.000083 0.000101 0.000125 0.000154 0.000190 0.000236
2026-02-08 0.000058 0.000075 0.000096 0.000123 0.000159 0.000205 0.000266
2026-02-15 0.000052 0.000069 0.000092 0.000123 0.000165 0.000220 0.000299
2026-02-22 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000123 0.000171 0.000237 0.000335
2026-03-01 0.000042 0.000060 0.000085 0.000121 0.000175 0.000251 0.000367
2026-03-08 0.000039 0.000057 0.000083 0.000122 0.000182 0.000269 0.000408
2026-03-15 0.000036 0.000054 0.000081 0.000123 0.000188 0.000286 0.000447
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000051 0.000078 0.000122 0.000191 0.000300 0.000483
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000049 0.000077 0.000124 0.000200 0.000321 0.000533
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000076 0.000124 0.000205 0.000338 0.000577
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000074 0.000123 0.000210 0.000354 0.000621
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000071 0.000123 0.000214 0.000371 0.000667
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000219 0.000389 0.000719
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000039 0.000067 0.000121 0.000221 0.000401 0.000760
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000224 0.000417 0.000810
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000036 0.000064 0.000121 0.000229 0.000436 0.000868
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000062 0.000119 0.000232 0.000449 0.000916
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000120 0.000239 0.000473 0.000986
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000120 0.000244 0.000493 0.001050
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000059 0.000120 0.000246 0.000508 0.001107
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000030 0.000059 0.000122 0.000255 0.000537 0.001196